As long promised (sorry!), here are some books and a few papers I recommend. I’ve read at least some of (almost) all of them and (almost) all of most…
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Dan Wang on 'engineers of the soul'... GPT3, the scaling hypothesis... SW1 sex deviants... Baby P/child abuse coverups... Imminent trolley tax u-turn
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Innovation & procurement... Why Pentagon/MoD are high-friction-high-latency-low-performance?... RMA/'military-technical revolution'... Why successes get…
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Trump winning is 'modal outcome'... AI progress ('for progress there is no cure')... Fusion progress... Sex/Left losing...
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Schelling's game theory was dangerously misleading... How should we think of deterrence? ... What new capabilities should we prioritise?
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We should be encouraging a deal but our idiocracy wants the war to continue... PM's team thinks the war helps him politically... Strauss on Nietzsche...
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Western theories re Soviet 'rationality' and nuclear strategy/ deterrence were revealed post-91 to be overconfident & wrong... Few realise... The rot of…
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How do militaries innovate? Why do good ideas stall? What sort of organisations innovate best? Why can't politicians learn? Implications for UKR/Russia?
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Instead of Twitter I'll post snippets here...
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Being slow is expensive... Planning... Hiring... Incentivising people to seek truth & focus on long-term value, not social pressures…
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Boris and ‘the unwritten code’ of power... Learning to smile ambiguously... 'Nothing was ready for the war which everyone expected'...
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Parties, trolleys, Sue Gray, what next...
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