Dan Wang on 'engineers of the soul'... GPT3, the scaling hypothesis... SW1 sex deviants... Baby P/child abuse coverups... Imminent trolley tax u-turn
Innovation & procurement... Why Pentagon/MoD are high-friction-high-latency-low-performance?... RMA/'military-technical revolution'... Why successes get…
Trump winning is 'modal outcome'... AI progress ('for progress there is no cure')... Fusion progress... Sex/Left losing...
Schelling's game theory was dangerously misleading... How should we think of deterrence? ... What new capabilities should we prioritise?
We should be encouraging a deal but our idiocracy wants the war to continue... PM's team thinks the war helps him politically... Strauss on Nietzsche...
Western theories re Soviet 'rationality' and nuclear strategy/ deterrence were revealed post-91 to be overconfident & wrong... Few realise... The rot of…
How do militaries innovate? Why do good ideas stall? What sort of organisations innovate best? Why can't politicians learn? Implications for UKR/Russia?
Instead of Twitter I'll post snippets here...
Being slow is expensive... Planning... Hiring... Incentivising people to seek truth & focus on long-term value, not social pressures…
Boris and ‘the unwritten code’ of power... Learning to smile ambiguously... 'Nothing was ready for the war which everyone expected'...
Parties, trolleys, Sue Gray, what next...
15 May was no 'party'... but the inquiry should look at 20 May... MPs should learn and enforce PUBLICATION of covid 'plans'