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On Complexity, ‘fog and moonlight’, prediction, and politics VII: why social science is so bad at prediction & what is to be done

Snippets 9: Tyler Cowen interview on talent; the coming Kami-kwasi collapse; what UK politics looked like in 2010

SNIPPETS 8: The Human Handgrenade & Kami-kwasi fiasco... Unexplained by the media she destroyed her own power on Day 1... MISC on UKR, tech...

'People, ideas, machines' V: Colin Gray on Defence Planning

Snippets 7: A chance to replace the Tories; mass nonpayment of bills; Chinese 'engineers of the soul' on western decadénce; Deep State insight; airpower in UKR...

Snippets 6: the leadership race; SW1 Reality and Simulation - 'culture wars'; why HMT should be split up; Homer Simpson was right ‘democracy doesn’t work’; UKR...